Following tradition, on the day before the Oscars I share with you my predictions, so that tomorrow I can have the pleasure of saying "I told you so!" and so that you have the pleasure of seeing me make a fool of myself when my predictions turn out to be absolute fiction!
Jokes aside though, this year it seems that pretty much everything is pretty much expected.... No (major) surprises....
On the Best Actor in a Leading role category, after the Golden Globes, BAFTA, SAGs and many other awards, it is certain that no one is going to get in the way of Eddie Redmayne and his Oscar! His amazing performance in The Theory of Everything made him instant Hollywood royalty. If anyone is going to steal the Oscar, it will have to be the original Batman, Michael Keaton for Birdman, the role of his career. Poor Michael! If it was any other year, he would have locked the Oscar, but I guess this year he will have to stick to his Golden Globe.... On the other nominations, let me just state for the record that it is clear that Bradley Cooper has the Academy under some short of spell! Because only magic could explain his nomination....
The ladies nominated for Best Actress in a Leading Role, can spare themselves the trouble of writing a speech. Except you Julianne - we need to hear something when you receive your first (finally) Academy Award! No one can threaten Julianne Moore in this category: not the lovely Marion Cotillard for her surprising yet justified nomination for Two Days, One Night, not the newcomer Felicity Jones for her exquisite performance in The Theory of Everything, not Rosamund Pike for her psyco role in Gone Girl, not even the "Hollywood sweetheart" Reese Witherspoon for Wild...
This year, in the Best Actor in a Supporting Role category, as harsh as the competition is this year, with veteran Robert Duvall for The Judge, Ethan Hawke for Boyhood, Edward Norton for Birdman and Mark Ruffalo for Foxcatcher, it is almost a fact that J. K. Simmons will be the winner for his out of this world performance in Whiplash.
With many great performances in the Best Actress in a Supporting role category, including the Oscar veteran Meryl Streep for Into The Woods (which is a perfect example that even if Meryl simpy reads a restaurant menu, she is Oscar material!), Patricia Arquette seems to be the frontrunner. Her unique 12 year performance in Boyhood is what will give her her first Oscar.
Which brings us to the Best Picture and Best Directing. My gut feeling says that Richard Linklater and his masterpiece Boyhood, are going to be the big winners. The originality and uniqueness of this project, has made it an Academy favorite and will probably be awarded for both these categories. Although we might see surprises as we have in the past when the Best Picture and Best Directing awards go to different films (with a recent example Ang Lee in 2013 with The Life of Pi winning Best Direction and Argo winning Best Picture). So another possibility is that one of the two awards will go to Birdman. If it wasn't for Boyhood, Alejandro G. Iñárritu would be the big winner tonight, but like Micheal Keaton, unfortunatelly Boyhood gets in the way...
The Best Writing categories, are not that clear - my guesses are that The Theory of Everything will win Best Writing for Adapted Screenplay, with The Imitation Game being a threat, although my personal second choice would be Whiplash
In the Best Writing Original Screenplay category, Birdman needs to win this award! To my point of view Boyhood should not be a threat in this category, but you never know with the Academy... Another threat is The Grand Budapest Hotel, although I think they will settle the score with Best Makeup & Hairstyling and/or Best Costume Design...
In other categories, the Academy will try to make amends with... well the whole world, by awarding the amazing song from Selma, Glory. This way they will try to make us overpass the epic Oscar snub towards Selma.... In the Best Foreign Language film category, the battle is on between Ida from Poland and Leviathan from Russia: my guess is that Ida is going to be the winner. In the Best Animated Feature Film category, with Lego out of the picture, How to Train Your Dragon 2 is the film with the best chances in winning.
So, in a year when we know pretty much what to expect and following Ellen's epic Oscar selfie, what will Neil Patrick Harris do, to keep us on our toes? Well, he has proven to be an excellent performer when he presented the Tony Awards in 2013 and with him we know that that the night is going to be... legen-wait for it-dary!
Happy Oscar night everybody! Don't forget to like and follow my Facebook page www.facebook.com/herdudenessblog for regular updates!
Ever since I first set foot on a cinema theatre, I knew that something magical was happening there....